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Prediction for CME (2020-03-02T20:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2020-03-02T20:00Z
CME Note: From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: The in-situ observations exhibit two coherent magnetic structures with monotonic changes in the magnetic field profile. Possibly, they could be the traces of streamer blow outs. Remote sensing observations are required to fully identify and characterize the structures. The first one arrives on march 6, around 14 hrs UT and last for 10 hrs. It is a coherent structure without clear rotation in the magnetic field rotation but low temperature. The second structure displays a magnetic field rotation and low temperature flux rope signatures. It starts around 14 hrs UT and last for 13 hrs.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2020-03-06T14:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-03-06T21:06Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note: 
% Compiled module: EAM_V2.
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Most pr. speed = 320.0 km/s 
u_r =      370.2 km/s
Acceleration:      0.283230
Duration in seconds:        349590.35
Duration in days:        4.0461846
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   0.28 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  469.2 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 06/03/2020 Time: 21:06 UT
Lead Time: 64.50 hour(s)
Difference: -7.10 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2020-03-03T21:30Z
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